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Statistical Modeling Final Project

Applied OLS, LASSO, and PCR to predict match duration from esports performance data.

Statistical Modeling Final Project logo
Summary exhibit from the Statistical Modeling Final Project analysis
From the report.

Overview

For this project, I analyzed professional League of Legends match data to model and predict game duration using statistical learning methods. After cleaning and structuring a large dataset of international matches, I explored early- and mid-game performance metrics and built multiple predictive models, including OLS, LASSO, and Principal Components Regression. I compared these models using a train–test split and found that LASSO achieved the lowest RMSE by selecting the most informative predictors and reducing multicollinearity. The results highlight how a small set of tempo-driving variables, such as kill pace and objective control, can reliably forecast match length.